Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Genoa
25.1%
Draw
46.9%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Genoa
vs
1.52
Napoli
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).