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24 Oct 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.3%
Charleroi
28.2%
Draw
29.6%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Charleroi

vs
1.12

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS51.2%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).