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24 Aug 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.3%
Sturm Graz
29.2%
Draw
20.5%
Rheindorf Altach

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Sturm Graz

vs
0.80

Rheindorf Altach

Markets

BTTS42.5%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.5%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.0%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.5%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).