Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.1%
Spezia
21.8%
Draw
12.1%
Lecco
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Spezia
vs
0.77
Lecco
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).