Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
Chesterfield
24.3%
Draw
19.1%
Chorley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Chesterfield
vs
1.00
Chorley
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
3.1%
0-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).