Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.0%
Union Berlin
20.5%
Draw
10.5%
Gent
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Union Berlin
vs
0.63
Gent
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.4%
1-0
14.2%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.0%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).