Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.0%
Notts County
19.2%
Draw
11.7%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Notts County
vs
0.65
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.6%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).