Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.9%
Cittadella
37.0%
Draw
30.1%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Cittadella
vs
0.81
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS33.3%
Over 0.579.9%
Over 1.551.0%
Over 2.523.5%
Over 3.58.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.1%
1-0
14.9%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
14.0%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-0
2.0%
0-3
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).