Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.8%
Chateauroux
22.6%
Draw
51.6%
Rodez
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Chateauroux
vs
1.65
Rodez
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.7%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
6.3%
0-0
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).