Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.2%
Livyi Bereh
11.1%
Draw
85.7%
Shakhtar Donetsk
Expected Goals (xG)
0.37
Livyi Bereh
vs
2.68
Shakhtar Donetsk
Markets
BTTS29.2%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
17.0%
0-3
15.1%
0-1
12.5%
0-4
10.1%
1-2
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
0-5
5.4%
1-1
4.9%
0-0
4.9%
1-4
3.8%
1-5
2.0%
1-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).