Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Altrincham
28.3%
Draw
24.0%
Weymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Altrincham
vs
0.98
Weymouth
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).