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10 Aug 2025 · 10:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.2%
Obolon'
32.9%
Draw
40.9%
Oleksandria

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Obolon'

vs
1.05

Oleksandria

Markets

BTTS35.5%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.554.9%
Over 2.527.7%
Over 3.511.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.5%
0-0
16.5%
1-1
13.5%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).