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02 Sept 2023 · 18:00

Caen

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.3%
Laval
26.7%
Draw
32.0%
Caen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Laval

vs
1.01

Caen

Markets

BTTS43.4%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.2%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
12.2%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).