Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
Fylde
25.0%
Draw
29.8%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Fylde
vs
1.40
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS63.2%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
5.1%
0-1
5.1%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).