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18 Feb 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.2%
Oldham
19.7%
Draw
9.1%
Maidstone

Expected Goals (xG)

2.12

Oldham

vs
0.64

Maidstone

Markets

BTTS42.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.3%
1-0
12.7%
3-0
10.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
1-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).