Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.8%
Lech Poznań
20.3%
Draw
18.0%
Motor Lublin
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
Lech Poznań
vs
1.23
Motor Lublin
Markets
BTTS64.7%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
3-0
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-1
4.4%
4-0
3.6%
0-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).