Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.6%
Chesterfield
16.3%
Draw
10.2%
Weymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.67
Chesterfield
vs
0.93
Weymouth
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.548.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.4%
1-0
6.7%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
0-0
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).