Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Portsmouth
34.7%
Draw
29.0%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Portsmouth
vs
0.85
Charlton
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.582.8%
Over 1.555.7%
Over 2.527.7%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.2%
1-0
14.7%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
12.5%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
6.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).