Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →0.3%
Plymouth
1.3%
Draw
98.5%
Worthing
Expected Goals (xG)
0.31
Plymouth
vs
5.30
Worthing
Markets
BTTS26.5%
Over 0.599.6%
Over 1.597.5%
Over 2.591.6%
Over 3.580.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-5
13.0%
0-4
12.3%
0-3
9.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-5
4.0%
1-4
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
0-1
2.0%
1-2
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
1-1
0.6%
2-4
0.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).