Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Vallecano
28.1%
Draw
33.9%
Betis
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Vallecano
vs
1.16
Betis
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).