Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Notts County
30.9%
Draw
29.3%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Notts County
vs
0.83
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS35.5%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.554.7%
Over 2.528.3%
Over 3.511.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
0-0
15.1%
0-1
13.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).