Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.0%
Las Palmas
22.4%
Draw
7.6%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Las Palmas
vs
0.36
Lugo
Markets
BTTS24.1%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.3%
2-0
18.3%
0-0
13.4%
3-0
10.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
5-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).