Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.9%
Porto
10.3%
Draw
2.8%
Pacos Ferreira
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59
Porto
vs
0.29
Pacos Ferreira
Markets
BTTS23.1%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
18.8%
3-0
16.3%
1-0
14.7%
4-0
10.5%
5-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
0-0
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
1-1
4.0%
4-1
3.1%
0-1
1.8%
5-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).