Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Oxford City
26.8%
Draw
40.8%
Wealdstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Oxford City
vs
1.53
Wealdstone
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
6.7%
1-0
6.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).