Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.8%
Benfica
8.3%
Draw
2.9%
Pacos Ferreira
Expected Goals (xG)
3.00
Benfica
vs
0.39
Pacos Ferreira
Markets
BTTS30.8%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.544.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.1%
3-0
15.1%
4-0
11.3%
1-0
10.3%
5-0
6.8%
2-1
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
4-1
4.5%
1-1
3.8%
0-0
3.2%
5-1
2.7%
0-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).