Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.6%
Cambridge
24.2%
Draw
23.2%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Cambridge
vs
0.88
Accrington
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).