Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.7%
Fuenlabrada
21.3%
Draw
54.0%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Fuenlabrada
vs
2.02
Almeria
Markets
BTTS63.2%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.4%
0-1
7.3%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-3
4.2%
0-0
3.5%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).