Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Montpellier
23.0%
Draw
23.2%
Boulogne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Montpellier
vs
0.95
Boulogne
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).