Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Blackpool
26.9%
Draw
30.1%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Blackpool
vs
0.95
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).