Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.0%
Sirius
22.4%
Draw
65.6%
Mjällby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Sirius
vs
1.99
Mjällby
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.8%
0-1
11.9%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.5%
0-0
7.5%
1-3
6.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).