Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.2%
Brentford
21.0%
Draw
15.8%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Brentford
vs
1.12
Burnley
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.545.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
4-1
4.4%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).