Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.8%
Alessandria
28.1%
Draw
48.1%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Alessandria
vs
1.53
Como
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).