Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.2%
Bolton
16.4%
Draw
10.5%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Bolton
vs
0.66
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.9%
1-0
13.5%
3-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).