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AHT: 01CSV

12 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.6%
Blackpool
24.7%
Draw
31.7%
Coventry

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Blackpool

vs
1.12

Coventry

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.4%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).