⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 10CSV

11 Jan 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
47.6%
Espanol
25.5%
Draw
26.9%
Leganes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Espanol

vs
1.13

Leganes

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).