⚽ FootballData
3 – 0
HHT: 10CSV

28 Jan 2020 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
78.9%
Northampton
15.1%
Draw
6.0%
Scunthorpe

Expected Goals (xG)

2.21

Northampton

vs
0.43

Scunthorpe

Markets

BTTS30.7%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
17.5%
1-0
16.1%
3-0
12.9%
2-1
7.5%
4-0
7.1%
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
3.3%
5-0
3.2%
4-1
3.0%
2-2
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).