Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.1%
Hertha
17.7%
Draw
67.2%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Hertha
vs
2.66
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS66.5%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.574.6%
Over 3.554.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.9%
1-3
7.9%
1-1
7.2%
0-2
7.2%
0-3
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
1-4
5.2%
0-1
4.9%
2-3
4.9%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
2-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).