Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Brighton
27.7%
Draw
35.3%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Brighton
vs
1.45
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).