Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.3%
Saint-Étienne
18.0%
Draw
62.7%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Saint-Étienne
vs
2.45
Lyon
Markets
BTTS66.5%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.572.5%
Over 3.551.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.2%
1-3
7.5%
1-1
7.3%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
0-3
5.7%
2-3
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
1-4
4.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).