Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.3%
Maritimo
18.2%
Draw
68.5%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Maritimo
vs
2.15
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.0%
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
0-4
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).