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01 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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86.6%
Barnet
9.9%
Draw
3.5%
Oxford City

Expected Goals (xG)

3.16

Barnet

vs
0.58

Oxford City

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.572.0%
Over 3.551.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
12.6%
2-0
11.9%
4-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
5-0
6.3%
4-1
5.7%
1-1
4.7%
5-1
3.6%
0-0
2.8%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).