Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Kocaelispor
38.7%
Draw
15.3%
Fatih Karagümrük
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Kocaelispor
vs
0.54
Fatih Karagümrük
Markets
BTTS30.7%
Over 0.577.5%
Over 1.551.4%
Over 2.522.5%
Over 3.58.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.5%
1-0
18.4%
1-1
14.5%
2-0
11.6%
0-1
7.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-0
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
0-2
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
2-2
1.7%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).