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HHT: 00CSV

18 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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74.9%
Olympiakos
19.6%
Draw
5.6%
Panionios

Expected Goals (xG)

1.96

Olympiakos

vs
0.38

Panionios

Markets

BTTS28.0%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
18.5%
1-0
18.1%
3-0
12.1%
0-0
10.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
4-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
0-1
3.0%
5-0
2.3%
4-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).