Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Frosinone
26.1%
Draw
34.4%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Frosinone
vs
1.47
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
0-0
5.8%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).