Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Dover Athletic
28.9%
Draw
32.9%
Weymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Dover Athletic
vs
1.21
Weymouth
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.4%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).