Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.1%
Kilmarnock
24.2%
Draw
56.7%
Motherwell
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Kilmarnock
vs
1.82
Motherwell
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
0-1
10.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
6.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
2-3
2.9%
2-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).