Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.8%
Milan
19.9%
Draw
8.3%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Milan
vs
0.45
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS30.3%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.7%
2-0
17.2%
3-0
10.6%
0-0
9.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
4-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
0-1
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
5-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).