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DHT: 10CSV

27 Feb 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.0%
Ross County
29.8%
Draw
28.2%
St Mirren

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Ross County

vs
0.98

St Mirren

Markets

BTTS45.4%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).