Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.1%
Sevilla
25.0%
Draw
51.0%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Sevilla
vs
1.65
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
0-3
5.0%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).