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AHT: 03CSV

29 Apr 2023 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.5%
Sivasspor
19.4%
Draw
70.1%
Fenerbahce

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Sivasspor

vs
2.64

Fenerbahce

Markets

BTTS61.0%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.2%
0-2
9.0%
1-1
8.7%
1-3
8.0%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5.3%
0-4
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
4.1%
2-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).